Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.027344 0.029972 0.032574 0.035338 0.038187 0.041031 0.044082
2025-01-05 0.021868 0.026070 0.030353 0.035015 0.039925 0.044921 0.050369
2025-01-12 0.017859 0.023045 0.028468 0.034494 0.040946 0.047602 0.054945
2025-01-19 0.014143 0.019912 0.026111 0.033136 0.040775 0.048749 0.057633
2025-01-26 0.012570 0.018949 0.025942 0.033979 0.042808 0.052096 0.062506
2025-02-02 0.010775 0.017561 0.025169 0.034038 0.043882 0.054314 0.066075
2025-02-09 0.008699 0.015667 0.023696 0.033212 0.043890 0.055298 0.068235
2025-02-16 0.007495 0.014718 0.023232 0.033450 0.045012 0.057434 0.071581
2025-02-23 0.006263 0.013626 0.022527 0.033355 0.045712 0.059063 0.074332
2025-03-02 0.005076 0.012480 0.021691 0.033055 0.046135 0.060348 0.076668
2025-03-09 0.004105 0.011525 0.021030 0.032915 0.046702 0.061757 0.079107
2025-03-16 0.003004 0.010247 0.019901 0.032174 0.046546 0.062333 0.080600
2025-03-23 0.002134 0.009283 0.019242 0.032119 0.047336 0.064144 0.083666
2025-03-30 0.001273 0.008155 0.018344 0.031789 0.047842 0.065685 0.086497
2025-04-06 0.000570 0.007014 0.017343 0.031283 0.048111 0.066934 0.088981
2025-04-13 0.000036 0.005542 0.015755 0.029974 0.047386 0.067018 0.090131
2025-04-20 NaN 0.005282 0.015870 0.030786 0.049145 0.069902 0.094383
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004674 0.015416 0.030843 0.049983 0.071714 0.097415
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003722 0.014337 0.030047 0.049767 0.072295 0.099041
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003303 0.014063 0.030276 0.050765 0.074252 0.102196
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002787 0.013566 0.030185 0.051356 0.075724 0.104788
2025-05-25 NaN 0.002243 0.012944 0.029896 0.051686 0.076877 0.107001
2025-06-01 NaN 0.001808 0.012454 0.029761 0.052187 0.078212 0.109407